Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Kaliabor Lok Sabha Election, Dip Gogoi facing tough challange in Kaliabor

Kaliabor Lok Sabha Election
Correspondent
DERGAON, April 21 – Electioneering for the Kaliabor Lok Sabha seat has reached a fever pitch. The April 23 poll will decide the fate of eight candidates including sitting MP Dip Gogoi (Congress), Gunin Hazarika (AGP), Sirajuddin Ajmal (AUDF), Mridul Baruah (NCP) and Independent candidates Binod Gogoi, Kamal Hazarika, Paul Nayak and Pradip Dutta.

The seat was represented by Debeswar Sarmah (Congress) in 1951, Mofida Ahmed (Cong) in 1957, Rajendra Nath Baruah (PSP) in 1962, Debeswar Baruah (Cong) in 1967, Bedabrata Baruah (Cong) in 1971 and 1977, Bhadreswar Tanti (independent) in 1985, Tarun Gogoi (Cong) in 1991, Keshab Mahanta (AGP) in 1996, Tarun Gogoi (Cong) again in 1998 and 1999 and Dip Gogoi (Cong) in 2004.

The prestigious seat consists of 10 LACs – Dhing, Batadroba, Rupahihat, Samaguri, Kaliabor, Bokakhat, Sarupather, Golaghat, Khumtai and Dergaon.

A total of 13,46,255 voters will cast their votes at 1,471 polling stations. The constituency-wise break-up of the electors are as follows: 1,49,986 in Dhing, 1,25,865 in Batadraba,1,35,866 in Rupahihat,1,22,790 in Samaguri ,1,09,085 in Kaliabor, 1,11,466 in Bokakhat,1,91,641 in Sarupather, 1,54,379 in Golaghat, 1,10,911 in Khumtai and 1,34,266 in Dergaon.

In the 2004 election, Congress candidate Deep Gogoi won the seat by getting 3,01,893 votes while Keshab Mahanta of AGP got 2,34,695, Rashidul Haque of JD(U) 1,25,966 and Jiten Gogoi (Indepedent) got 30,810 votes, which shows that the total number of votes received by AGP and JD(U) was more than the votes received by the Congress candidate along with the independent candidate.

On the other hand, among the 10 LACs only three are in the hand of Congress while five are with AGP, one each is captured by AUDF and independent candidate.

In six seats, Congress is in second position as AGP has three seats and AUDF one. The statistics revealed that the total votes received by the Congress in the 10 LACs under Kaliabor LS seat in the 2006 Assembly election was 3,76,177 while AGP and AGP(P) received 3,75,503, BJP got 1,28,043 and AUDF 97,020.

From this statistics it is clear that if the votes of AGP (united) and BJP are taken together and supposing AUDF will be able to make inroads then Congress is bound to have a real tough time.

This time, the main contest will be among Deep Gogoi (Cong), Gunin Hazarika (AGP-BJP) and Sirajuddin Ajmal (AUDF). Hence the AGP-BJP alliance is likely to enjoy an edge in the seat, provided it proves to be an alliance in true sense. ASSAM TRIBUNE

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